Football probabilities you can audit
Every forecast is logged before the match and compared with the real result. No promises: numbers.
Liga 1 · Mon, Nov 9 · already played
High confidence
Logged before kickoff. No result is edited.
How it works
You pick your leagues and teams
In 30 seconds: you only see what matters to you, with the level of detail you prefer.
You get explained probabilities
Home, draw and away, expected goals and the why behind each number in plain language.
You check the accuracy
Every forecast is logged before the match and audited against the real result.
Public accuracy
We publish everything, bad streaks included. The Brier score measures the error of the probabilities: the lower, the better (0 would be perfect).
Live track record since 2026-10-23. Matching the market is already hard: Talking Tipster's edge is explaining and measuring, not promising hits. See the full history and calibration.
Leagues covered
Football first: 28 leagues from around the world, Peru's Liga 1 included. Basketball, tennis and more will arrive in waves, each only when its model passes calibration.
Simulator
The same goals model as the app. Adjust the expected goals and see how the probabilities change.
Más de 2.5 goles 51% · Ambos anotan 54% · Marcador más probable 1-1 (12%)
Plans
For free you see the winner and probability of every match. Paying unlocks the depth.
Free
S/ 0/month
- Winner and probability for every match, no limit
- Your feed by leagues and teams
- Public accuracy record
- Prediction pool with friends
Pro
S/ 19,90/month
- Every market and the full explanation, spoken too
- Match preview: absences, lineups and referee
- Value alerts, parlays and return by league
- 7-day free trial
Pro yearly
S/ 169/year
- All of Pro
- S/ 14,10 per month · save 29%
- Covers the breaks between seasons
Prices in soles for Peru; there will be per-country prices in the stores. Payments will come with the app in stores.
FAQ
Is Talking Tipster always right?
No, and nobody can. In football the favorite wins a little over half the time. Our goal is for 60% to really mean 60%: that's why we publish the Brier score and calibration, bad streaks included.
Can I bet on Talking Tipster?
No. Talking Tipster is statistical information: it doesn't take bets, has no deals with bookmakers and doesn't guarantee results.
How do I know predictions aren't changed afterwards?
Every prediction is saved before the match in a log that can't be edited or deleted, and is automatically compared with the real result.
Where do the probabilities come from?
From an ELO rating and goals model (Poisson with Dixon-Coles correction) that isn't fooled by streaks, combined with market odds without their margin where they exist. Every forecast comes with its explanation in plain language.
Responsible gambling
Talking Tipster is for people 18+. Probabilities are informational and don't guarantee results. If you bet, do it with money you can afford to lose and seek help if you stop enjoying it.
Coming soon to your phone
Talking Tipster will be on the App Store and Google Play. Meanwhile, the track record is already running every day.